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The economic consequences of the wars in the Middle East and Northern African Countries
Tuesday 28 June 2016, 16 h 30 - 18 h 00,  75007 Paris 

Chaired by Christophe Destais, Deputy-Director of the CEPII



  • Adnan Mazarei, Deputy-Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the IMF


  • Björn Rother, Advisor in the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the IMF



  • Presentation (PPT)

  • Session Summary


Only available to Club Members


Further reading


  • Algeria - CEPII Counrty Profile, June 2016


The MENA region has long suffered from a high level of violence that have recently intensified and spread further. In addition to human losses and physical destruction, these conflicts have caused deep recessions (Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Yemen), driven up inflation, worsened fiscal and financial positions, and damaged institutions. There are also powerful spillovers on neighboring countries, most notably through a refugee crisis and worsened security. This conference will provide an overview of the economic impact of recent MENA conflicts and the various channels through which they produce their often devastating costs, differentiating between countries in conflict and those affected by its spillovers. Based on that, and drawing on the experience with conflicts and state fragility across the MENA region, policy challenges and priorities will be discussed as well as the role of external partners in supporting efforts to mitigate the economic fallout from the violence and assist countries with post-conflict rebuilding.

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